SBMUpdated 23 Oct 2026
Early version, updated weekly. Every claim is dated and sourced. Think something is wrong? Dispute it.
Map / Loops / Cost-curve

Cost-curve loop

Cheaper models, lower unit cost, more volume, more revenue.

Models running this loop 11

ModelRungFamilyLoopRegisterStateCosEvidenceLast
Credits for AI workR1 Flow through Selling abundancecost-curve RisingScaling 32A 1B2026-03-02
Tokens as the unit of saleR2 Rides Selling abundancecost-curve RisingScaling 31A 2B2026-09-24
AI roll-ups of services firmsR2 Rides Selling the finished workcost-curve RisingEmerging 20A 3B2026-06-02
Prompt to appR1 Flow through Selling abundancecost-curve RisingScaling 20A 2B2026-04-13
Generative media subscriptionsR1 Flow through Selling abundancecost-curve RisingScaling 32A 1B2026-08-20
Tiered intelligence subscriptionsR2 Rides Selling abundancecost-curve RisingScaling 21A 1B2026-09
Per-seat software pricingR0 Fights toward Selling the finished workcost-curve RetiringUnder pressure 20A 2B2026-04-02
Offshore contact-center laborR0 Fights toward Selling the finished workcost-curve RetiringDeclining 21A 1B2026-06-29
Per-word human translationR0 Fights toward Selling the finished workcost-curve RetiringDeclining 11A 0B2025
Commodity freelance gigsR0 Fights toward Selling the finished workcost-curve RetiringUnder pressure 10A 1B2025-09-15
Headcount-billed IT servicesR0 Fights toward Selling the finished workcost-curve RetiringWatch 10A 1B2025-10-09