SBMUpdated 23 Oct 2026
Early version, updated weekly. Every claim is dated and sourced. Think something is wrong? Dispute it.
Map / 2. Rides / Selling the finished work

AI-run insurance

R2 RidesSelling the finished workLearning loopOn watchWatch
Placement: a judgment drawn from the evidence, open to correction (dispute it).

The model

Why it is on watch
ZhongAn's profitable AI-run underwriting is the strongest case but its figures are not yet confirmed from its own results; Lemonade is still loss-making and Wefox retreated from underwriting. Returns to the map once ZhongAn is confirmed.
Definition
Pending. Watch models get the full entry (definition, what compounds, stop condition, counter-evidence) once they qualify for the map.
Stops working when
Pending, as above.

Evidence

Companies 2
Evidence items 2
Grades 0A 2B
Latest dated 2026-04-29
Counter-evidence 1

The three labels

2. Rides · loop gain positive. Each step of the curve makes its own loop stronger.

Selling the finished work · money lands in the outcome, not the tool or the hours.

Learning loop · use, data, better product, more use.

Same rung and family

Named companies 2 companies · grade per item

CompanyClaimDateGrSource
Lemonade
United States · public · best B
Q1 2026 in-force premium reached $1.33B (up 32% YoY); revenue $258M (up 71% YoY); net loss ratio improved 19 percentage points YoY2026-04-29BReinsurance News
WefoxCOUNTER
Germany/Switzerland · startup · best B
Raised EUR151M in July 2025 (EUR76M new capital plus EUR75M refinancing from Searchlight Capital) while pivoting away from capital-intensive underwriting toward an asset-light MGA and distribution model, after prior years of large underwriting losses (2023 net underwriting loss $40.5M, combined ratio 123%)2025-07-07BInsurance Journal

Counter-evidence Reversals, failures and disputes

Wefox is listed above as a counter-example.

Sources 2

Reinsurance News reinsurancene.ws · 2026-04-29
Insurance Journal insurancejournal.com · 2025-07-07